Why China Hesitates to Intervene in the Red Sea Crisis?

Introduction: The Red Sea Predicament

In recent times, Houthi raids in the Red Sea have emerged as a significant threat to Chinese national interests. However, despite the escalating dangers, China remains cautious about direct intervention due to various factors, including limited resources and a commitment to a neutral stance.

The International Call and China’s Response

The US Urges Action

The United States, concerned about the impact of Houthi attacks on shipping in the Red Sea, has called for international collaboration. Even the US State Department has urged China to play a constructive role in preventing these attacks, emphasizing the threat they pose to maritime security.

China’s Reluctance

Surprisingly, China has shown hesitance in joining the US-led international naval alliance. Despite acknowledging deep concerns over the Red Sea situation, Beijing has yet to express interest in actively participating in efforts to safeguard cargo ships passing through the region.

Economic Stakes: A High Price to Pay

Strategic Importance

The Red Sea and the Suez Canal are crucial components of China’s supply chain to the European market. With extensive investments in Egypt managing the Suez Canal, China has a lot at stake in terms of infrastructure, transportation, and energy.

Trade and Investments

Chinese enterprises have poured tens of billions of dollars into Egypt, with projects along the Suez Canal exceeding $20 billion. Recent investments in seaport infrastructure and plans for new container ports in the Red Sea underline China’s commitment to the region.

Navigating Challenges: Balancing Act for China

Commercial Interests at Risk

The increasing frequency of Houthi raids on cargo ships raises concerns for Chinese investors, particularly with substantial investments in infrastructure supporting the Belt and Road Initiative.

Oil Dependency

With approximately half of its oil imports coming from the Middle East and a significant portion of exports to the European Union passing through the Red Sea, China’s energy security and trade activities are directly threatened.

Diplomacy vs. Intervention: China’s Policy Conundrum

Non-Interference Principle

China’s longstanding policy of non-interference in the internal affairs of nations clashes with the rising challenges in the Red Sea. This policy, while central to China’s diplomatic stance, poses challenges when its Belt and Road Initiative members seek support amid security challenges.

Military Restraint

China’s military presence in the Gulf is limited, and it aims to avoid large-scale conflicts. Balancing its role as a global power, China refrains from aggressive actions, emphasizing diplomatic channels to address the Red Sea crisis.

Houthi Targeting and Political Calculations

Selective Houthi Targets

China’s reluctance to intervene stems from the fact that Houthi raids primarily target cargo ships linked to Israel and the US. As Chinese cargo ships remain unaffected, Beijing sees no urgency to escalate the situation.

Avoiding Diplomatic Consequences

China aims to avoid diplomatic fallout by not confronting Houthi forces directly. This strategic restraint prevents potential political and diplomatic consequences, particularly concerning its military potential and Western concerns.

Conclusion: China’s Delicate Balancing Act

In navigating the Red Sea crisis, China faces a delicate balancing act between safeguarding its economic interests and maintaining a policy of non-interference. As the international community seeks collaboration, China’s response, or lack thereof, highlights the complexities of its global role and the careful considerations it must make to protect its interests without compromising its diplomatic principles.