US Deputy Minister: The Russian army has almost completely recovered its strength

US Deputy Secretary of State Campbell said Russia has recovered nearly 100% of its military capacity despite suffering heavy losses in the Ukraine battlefield.

“According to our assessment in recent months, Russia has almost completely recovered its military capabilities,” US Deputy Secretary of State Kurt Campbell said in a discussion organized by the Center for a New American Security (CNAS) held on April 3.

Mr. Campbell said Russia initially suffered many defeats in the conflict in Ukraine but has “reequipped and is now a threat” to Kyiv.

“Not only for Ukraine, Russia’s new capabilities also bring longer-term challenges to stability in Europe and threaten NATO allies,” said US Deputy Secretary of State.

Mr. Campbell at a conference in Washington in March. Photo: Office of the US Deputy Secretary of State

Mr. Campbell at a conference in Washington in March. Photo: Office of the US Deputy Secretary of State

Russia has not released the latest casualty figures for its military in Ukraine, but NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg said on March 14 that Moscow had lost 350,000 soldiers since the beginning of the conflict. A leaked intelligence report in December 2023 said about 315,000 Russian soldiers were killed or wounded. The country also lost a large number of tanks, armored vehicles and other types of equipment, according to observers.

Deputy Minister Campbell’s statement is said to be one of the most positive assessments by Western officials about the Russian military’s ability to recover after suffering losses in the Ukraine battlefield.

An intelligence report published in December 2023 by the British military said that it may take Russia 10 years to add highly qualified human resources to the infantry force, adding that Moscow is shifting its army to the military model. Prioritize quality over quantity.

German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius said in January that Russia is building an armed force capable of attacking NATO but may only achieve this capability after “5-8 years”. Lithuania estimates this figure at 5-7 years.

Other assessments suggest that Russia is making progress in its efforts to rebuild its forces. According to a February report by the British Royal Institute for Defense and Security Studies (RUSI), from an unorganized army of about 360,000 people in 2023, Russia has built a well-trained force version with a population of more than 410,000 soldiers after one year.

“Although the Russian army did not achieve the goal of increasing the force size to 1.5 million soldiers, they still completed nearly 85% of the assigned target for signing contracts to recruit soldiers to fight in Ukraine,” the report said.

RUSI also said that Russia produces about 1,500 tanks and 3,000 armored vehicles a year, but it believes that Moscow is unlikely to maintain this level of production in the near future because most of the equipment shipped is tanks. , the armor was refurbished.

The Institute for the Study of War (ISW), based in the US, believes that Russia has enough capacity to compensate for losses in the conflict in Ukraine for at least two more years.

Some recent reports also show that Russian defense corporations have switched to wartime working mode to ensure the speed of production of weapons, ammunition and military equipment to meet wartime needs. Russian Minister of Industry and Trade Denis Manturov said in December 2023 that the country’s weapons production rate had surpassed the West’s, and Moscow wanted to maintain this pace.